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Red40
637716.3
87495.6
541711.1
Blue16
59085.1
47170.9
543114.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25260102030405060704016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#20
16.31.7
12.013.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End2.8
red by 2.3
5431
#18
14.00.9
15.014.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.1
Second
5417
#23
11.11.7
9.110.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.3
red by 6.0
5908
#31
5.10.9
8.07.1
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.1
Third
8749
#27
5.61.7
2.54.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End1.6
red by 4.7
4717
#32
0.90.9
1.60.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop0.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed