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Red5
85561.3
541711.1
88425.8
Blue51
300523.5
58665.7
88795.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26350102030405060551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#23
11.12.0
10.88.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End1.3
blue by 12.4
3005
#11
23.51.5
19.621.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End6.9
Second
8842
#26
5.82.0
9.77.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.0
red by 0.1
5866
#37
5.71.5
5.77.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Third
8556
#22
1.32.0
5.33.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop0.1
End1.6
blue by 3.7
8879
#24
5.11.5
6.37.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed