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Red47
62432.3
87697.8
88588.6
Blue51
300523.5
27149.8
71219.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504320306070804751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#3
32.30.1
31.231.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.8
End7.0
red by 8.8
3005
#11
23.50.7
22.923.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End6.9
Second
8858
#25
8.60.1
7.27.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End4.4
blue by 1.3
7121
#15
9.90.8
10.211.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Third
8769
#33
7.80.1
7.77.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 2.0
2714
#13
9.80.8
8.18.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed