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Red111
212248.1
35945.8
684421.5
Blue98
449938.5
248641.7
316615.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127935015020011198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.10.1
48.047.9
Auto12.6
Teleop24.6
End10.9
red by 6.4
41.70.1
40.340.5
Auto9.8
Teleop21.5
End10.5
Second
359
#1
45.80.1
45.745.6
Auto11.4
Teleop25.0
End9.3
red by 7.3
38.50.1
37.137.3
Auto10.2
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Third
6844
#19
21.50.1
21.521.4
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End8.9
red by 5.7
3166
#15
15.90.2
14.414.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End5.9