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Red125
212248.1
35945.8
684421.5
Blue115
449938.5
248641.7
316615.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128976080120140160180200125115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.10.2
48.248.1
Auto12.6
Teleop24.6
End10.9
red by 6.4
41.70.5
41.241.7
Auto9.8
Teleop21.5
End10.5
Second
359
#1
45.80.2
45.945.8
Auto11.4
Teleop25.0
End9.3
red by 7.3
38.50.5
38.038.5
Auto10.2
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Third
6844
#19
21.50.2
21.721.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End8.9
red by 5.7
3166
#15
15.90.5
15.415.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End5.9