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Red34
88853.4
494418.9
790616.5
Blue88
817414.2
248641.7
58713.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314202060801003488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#20
18.90.2
11.011.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.1
blue by 22.8
41.72.8
28.831.7
Auto9.8
Teleop21.5
End10.5
Second
7906
#25
16.50.4
11.912.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End8.2
red by 2.4
8174
#17
14.24.7
9.414.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End8.7
Third
8885
#33
3.40.4
7.47.8
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.4
Level
5871
#35
3.42.8
-0.52.4
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned