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Red60
817414.2
764513.5
546827.5
Blue38
763418.8
72439.2
29727.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54260204060801001206038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.6
18.118.7
Auto9.1
Teleop7.0
End11.4
red by 8.7
7634
#11
18.80.7
14.515.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End6.1
Second
8174
#17
14.20.9
14.115.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End8.7
red by 5.0
7243
#37
9.20.7
8.18.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End3.5
Third
7645
#26
13.50.6
15.315.9
Auto4.0
Teleop1.2
End8.3
red by 5.9
2972
#32
7.70.7
5.66.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed