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Red23
316615.9
324514.0
684421.5
Blue10
641116.4
88853.4
58713.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342304060802310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6844
#19
21.50.9
13.412.5
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End8.9
red by 5.1
6411
#27
16.41.4
12.811.3
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End4.5
Second
3166
#15
15.90.9
7.66.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End5.9
red by 12.5
5871
#35
3.40.9
2.41.5
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Third
14.00.5
9.99.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.3
red by 10.7
8885
#33
3.41.4
7.86.4
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed