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Red8
79054.9
72439.2
34058.7
Blue40
743611.4
817414.2
438814.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2828010204050840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7243
#37
9.21.2
8.87.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End3.5
blue by 5.5
4388
#31
14.60.9
11.212.0
Auto7.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Second
3405
#38
8.72.0
9.37.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End2.2
blue by 5.4
8174
#17
14.21.5
7.99.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End8.7
Third
7905
#39
4.92.0
7.85.8
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.4
blue by 6.5
11.41.5
7.79.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed