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Red83
212248.1
743611.4
593312.1
Blue9
45856.2
789510.9
817414.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7431020406080100120839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.11.0
43.144.1
Auto12.6
Teleop24.6
End10.9
red by 33.9
8174
#17
14.22.9
15.012.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End8.7
Second
5933
#18
12.11.0
10.511.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End7.7
red by 1.1
7895
#36
10.91.7
12.811.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End5.7
Third
11.41.7
10.512.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End4.5
red by 5.2
4585
#40
6.22.9
7.14.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed