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Red50
162218.3
182814.0
641116.4
Blue41
58713.4
494418.9
324320.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402201030506070805041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#13
18.31.0
17.018.0
Auto5.6
Teleop2.7
End10.0
blue by 2.4
3243
#21
20.72.0
9.511.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End9.1
Second
6411
#27
16.41.6
11.313.0
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End4.5
blue by 2.5
4944
#20
18.91.2
12.013.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.1
Third
1828
#29
14.01.0
6.97.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End4.9
red by 10.7
5871
#35
3.41.2
1.52.7
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsEarned