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Red54
84636.1
789510.9
29727.7
Blue45
790616.5
641116.4
79054.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583102040801005445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#5
36.10.2
32.832.9
Auto12.1
Teleop16.7
End7.3
red by 19.5
7906
#25
16.51.4
13.615.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End8.2
Second
7895
#36
10.90.2
11.411.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End5.7
blue by 5.5
6411
#27
16.41.4
13.615.0
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End4.5
Third
2972
#32
7.70.2
7.07.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.0
red by 2.7
7905
#39
4.91.4
5.16.5
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed