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Red61
764513.5
464316.6
337433.6
Blue16
58713.4
34058.7
133218.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7720040601006116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.3
32.832.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End8.3
red by 14.7
1332
#16
18.80.7
17.116.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End6.0
Second
4643
#28
16.60.3
16.816.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End4.4
red by 7.9
3405
#38
8.71.1
5.94.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End2.2
Third
7645
#26
13.50.3
15.815.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.2
End8.3
red by 10.2
5871
#35
3.40.7
3.02.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed