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Red67
641116.4
494418.9
212248.1
Blue88
133218.8
449938.5
684421.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71552040801001206788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.10.2
41.942.1
Auto12.6
Teleop24.6
End10.9
red by 9.6
38.52.0
28.330.3
Auto10.2
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Second
4944
#20
18.90.2
10.811.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.1
blue by 2.7
6844
#19
21.53.4
9.913.3
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End8.9
Third
6411
#27
16.40.3
11.712.0
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End4.5
blue by 2.4
1332
#16
18.82.0
15.217.3
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsEarned