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Qual 402022 Utah Regional
Red61
790616.5
248641.7
316615.9
Blue70
459810.1
449938.5
259413.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61630501001502006170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#2
41.70.2
32.9→33.1
Auto9.8
Teleop21.5
End10.5
red by 3.2
4499
#4
38.50.5
32.3→32.8
Auto10.2
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Second
7906
#25
16.50.4
15.0→15.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End8.2
red by 3.0
2594
#10
13.60.5
13.7→14.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End5.9
Third
3166
#15
15.90.4
9.7→10.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End5.9
red by 5.8
4598
#34
10.10.5
12.9→13.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsMissed