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Red7
459810.1
79054.9
88853.4
Blue57
337433.6
593312.1
316615.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21660406080100120757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4598
#34
10.11.2
13.412.2
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.0
blue by 23.5
33.60.1
32.532.6
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End8.3
Second
7905
#39
4.92.0
6.54.5
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.4
blue by 11.0
3166
#15
15.90.1
10.010.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.0
End5.9
Third
8885
#33
3.42.0
5.23.2
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.4
blue by 8.7
5933
#18
12.10.1
13.313.4
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed79%Hangar oddsEarned