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Red85
322510.9
647920.0
248641.7
Blue61
324514.0
641116.4
546827.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6649204060801008561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.71.4
33.134.5
Auto9.8
Teleop21.5
End10.5
red by 14.2
27.50.9
22.323.2
Auto9.1
Teleop7.0
End11.4
Second
6479
#23
20.01.4
17.118.5
Auto6.9
Teleop9.4
End3.8
red by 3.6
6411
#27
16.41.5
15.016.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End4.5
Third
3225
#24
10.92.4
9.511.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.5
End5.2
blue by 3.2
14.00.9
10.611.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsEarned