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Red85
58713.4
212248.1
647920.0
Blue66
337433.6
328814.0
641116.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72674060801001208566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.11.2
46.247.4
Auto12.6
Teleop24.6
End10.9
red by 14.5
33.60.2
32.632.7
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End8.3
Second
6479
#23
20.01.2
18.519.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.4
End3.8
red by 3.6
6411
#27
16.40.2
16.416.7
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End4.5
Third
5871
#35
3.41.2
2.63.7
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End1.0
blue by 10.6
3288
#30
14.00.2
14.614.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsEarned