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Red75
324514.0
45856.2
449938.5
Blue67
133218.8
337433.6
789510.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5468204060801001207567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.0
35.436.4
Auto10.2
Teleop21.0
End7.3
red by 4.9
33.60.1
32.732.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End8.3
Second
14.01.0
11.512.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.3
blue by 4.8
1332
#16
18.80.1
17.117.2
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End6.0
Third
4585
#40
6.21.4
5.67.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End-0.6
blue by 4.7
7895
#36
10.90.1
11.912.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed63%Hangar oddsEarned