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Red30
684421.5
58713.4
464316.6
Blue40
88853.4
817414.2
300612.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433202060803040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6844
#19
21.50.9
18.817.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End8.9
red by 7.4
8174
#17
14.20.8
16.016.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End8.7
Second
4643
#28
16.60.6
16.816.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End4.4
red by 4.2
3006
#22
12.40.6
11.612.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.3
End8.2
Third
5871
#35
3.40.6
3.73.1
Auto2.3
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Level
8885
#33
3.40.8
4.04.8
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned