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Red54
212248.1
79054.9
438814.6
Blue66
248641.7
546827.5
88853.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74693040506080901001105466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.11.2
47.546.2
Auto12.6
Teleop24.6
End10.9
red by 6.4
41.70.1
36.636.7
Auto9.8
Teleop21.5
End10.5
Second
4388
#31
14.61.2
15.814.6
Auto7.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
blue by 12.8
27.50.1
25.225.3
Auto9.1
Teleop7.0
End11.4
Third
7905
#39
4.91.6
5.23.6
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.4
red by 1.6
8885
#33
3.40.1
3.33.4
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned