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Red73
449938.5
79054.9
328814.0
Blue83
182814.0
324320.7
763418.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58462040801007383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.1
36.437.5
Auto10.2
Teleop21.0
End7.3
red by 17.7
3243
#21
20.73.1
17.220.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End9.1
Second
3288
#30
14.01.3
12.614.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End5.9
blue by 4.8
7634
#11
18.82.5
16.318.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End6.1
Third
7905
#39
4.91.3
3.64.9
Auto3.1
Teleop0.4
End1.4
blue by 9.1
1828
#29
14.02.5
11.614.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsEarned