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Red70
572426.5
236335.7
313611.1
Blue33
126217.1
580421.1
161016.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8358401001201407033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.1
36.136.0
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End4.8
red by 14.6
21.10.7
22.021.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End10.0
Second
26.50.1
26.926.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.9
End6.6
red by 9.4
17.10.7
18.117.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End3.6
Third
3136
#13
11.10.1
11.611.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End3.9
blue by 5.5
1610
#10
16.70.9
17.816.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End4.1