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Red31
572426.5
55464.1
97714.9
Blue29
428611.0
40114.2
580421.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4638102030506070803129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.2
19.117.9
Auto8.0
Teleop11.9
End6.6
red by 5.4
21.10.9
15.614.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End10.0
Second
977
#8
14.91.2
12.411.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End7.1
red by 0.7
401
#12
14.20.9
8.98.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
5546
#17
4.11.2
10.69.3
Auto2.0
Teleop0.9
End1.1
blue by 6.9
11.00.9
12.311.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned