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Red40
40114.2
190818.3
21068.9
Blue16
580421.1
28904.8
55464.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34350102030405060704016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.9
15.516.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End4.0
blue by 2.7
21.11.8
17.415.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End10.0
Second
401
#12
14.20.9
8.49.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End3.5
red by 9.4
2890
#18
4.81.8
7.35.5
Auto0.0
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Third
2106
#11
8.90.9
8.08.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.8
red by 4.9
5546
#17
4.11.8
7.86.0
Auto2.0
Teleop0.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed