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Red20
54010.8
28904.8
40114.2
Blue53
236335.7
428611.0
680214.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37381020305060702053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#12
14.21.7
13.812.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End3.5
blue by 21.4
35.72.0
14.516.5
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End4.8
Second
540
#16DQ
10.81.7
11.39.6
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End2.2
blue by 4.1
14.82.0
11.613.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End3.9
Third
2890
#18DQ
4.81.7
10.18.4
Auto0.0
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 6.2
4286
#9DQ
11.02.0
8.910.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed