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Red71
126217.1
580421.1
161016.7
Blue43
40114.2
42214.8
97714.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63452040801007143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.3
21.722.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End10.0
red by 6.2
977
#8
14.90.1
15.115.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End7.1
Second
17.10.3
17.718.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.1
End3.6
red by 2.3
422
#4
14.80.0
15.015.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Third
1610
#10
16.70.4
17.417.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End4.1
red by 2.4
401
#12
14.20.0
14.514.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End3.5