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Red40
59542.0
108614.8
6198.9
Blue33
15225.5
3466.8
38414.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30300102040504033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.4
12.613.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.8
End5.7
blue by 0.1
384
#4
14.90.5
12.613.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End5.6
Second
619
#10
8.90.4
9.49.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End4.5
red by 2.1
346
#16
6.80.5
9.29.7
Auto1.6
Teleop0.4
End4.8
Third
5954
#13
2.00.4
6.16.6
Auto0.5
Teleop-0.4
End1.9
blue by 3.6
5.50.5
6.67.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed