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Red44
108614.8
680216.7
20288.6
Blue22
12211.4
32746.1
3466.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452204060804422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.0
16.516.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End3.5
red by 5.3
122
#7
11.40.0
11.111.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End4.4
Second
14.80.0
14.414.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.8
End5.7
red by 8.0
346
#16
6.80.0
6.56.5
Auto1.6
Teleop0.4
End4.8
Third
2028
#15
8.60.0
8.38.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End0.9
red by 2.5
6.10.0
5.85.7
Auto1.4
Teleop0.6
End4.1