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Red26
28909.3
179311.3
53911.8
Blue96
126225.3
38427.6
12220.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33730204060801001202696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#13
11.81.0
12.011.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 15.7
384
#3
27.61.6
23.525.1
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
1793
#11
11.31.1
16.014.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End3.3
blue by 14.0
25.31.6
24.025.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
Third
2890
#14
9.30.7
8.17.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End2.1
blue by 11.4
122
#6
20.61.6
16.317.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsEarned