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Red50
393918.8
12220.6
202813.8
Blue73
38427.6
61915.1
34615.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52553040607080905073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#6
20.60.0
17.918.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End4.1
blue by 6.9
384
#3
27.61.5
25.126.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
18.80.0
18.919.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.0
End5.2
red by 3.7
619
#10
15.11.5
12.714.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.3
Third
2028
#16
13.80.0
12.612.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End4.3
blue by 1.3
346
#9
15.01.5
13.314.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsEarned