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Red20
61710.4
202813.8
179311.3
Blue57
618911.5
393918.8
126225.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25490204060801002057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2028
#16
13.80.4
8.27.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End4.3
blue by 11.6
25.30.8
18.319.1
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End5.4
Second
1793
#11
11.30.7
8.88.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End3.3
blue by 7.5
18.80.8
15.916.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.0
End5.2
Third
617
#17
10.40.5
9.28.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 1.1
6189
#12
11.51.1
8.69.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned