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Red44
53911.8
428615.3
12220.6
Blue59
618911.5
34615.0
38427.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40404550554459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#6
20.60.4
13.513.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End4.1
blue by 6.9
384
#3
27.61.4
18.419.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
15.30.5
14.214.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End4.3
red by 0.3
346
#9
15.01.4
9.310.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.9
End8.9
Third
539
#13
11.80.7
9.910.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End1.3
red by 0.3
6189
#12
11.52.0
9.811.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned