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Red80
236351.3
40125.0
742919.4
Blue59
42222.6
161022.8
327416.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111582040801001201401608059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.5
52.051.5
Auto14.9
Teleop32.0
End4.5
red by 28.5
22.80.0
22.722.7
Auto5.9
Teleop13.1
End3.8
Second
401
#1
25.00.5
25.725.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End8.2
red by 2.3
422
#8
22.60.0
22.622.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End7.4
Third
7429
#12
19.40.5
20.119.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End2.3
red by 3.4
16.00.0
15.915.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End7.7