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Red79
686312.2
337313.8
236351.3
Blue28
55465.7
61896.4
161022.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions793302040601001201407928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.5
53.353.7
Auto14.9
Teleop32.0
End4.5
red by 28.5
22.80.9
19.618.7
Auto5.9
Teleop13.1
End3.8
Second
13.80.5
7.98.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End8.4
red by 7.3
6189
#19
6.40.8
11.410.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End2.5
Third
6863
#14
12.20.8
6.97.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 6.5
5546
#11
5.70.8
5.74.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed