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Red87
108624.7
159925.5
686312.2
Blue78
337313.8
190825.5
742919.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58585560657075858778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.9
23.525.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End10.1
Level
25.51.6
24.125.6
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Second
24.71.9
22.824.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End6.1
red by 5.4
7429
#12
19.41.6
18.720.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End2.3
Third
6863
#14
12.23.0
8.311.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 1.6
13.81.6
11.813.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsEarned