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Red54
742919.4
161022.8
337313.8
Blue62
190825.5
55465.7
42222.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605902040801001201401605462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.2
22.922.7
Auto5.9
Teleop13.1
End3.8
blue by 2.7
25.50.3
26.325.9
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End3.7
Second
7429
#12
19.40.2
20.420.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End2.3
blue by 3.3
422
#8
22.60.3
22.922.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End7.4
Third
13.80.2
13.213.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End8.4
red by 8.1
5546
#11
5.70.3
6.15.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed