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Red65
190825.5
159925.5
68824.7
Blue104
236351.3
40125.0
327416.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458620608010012014065104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.4
19.120.5
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End3.7
blue by 25.8
51.31.6
51.353.0
Auto14.9
Teleop32.0
End4.5
Second
25.51.3
21.723.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End10.1
red by 0.5
401
#1
25.02.0
16.018.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End8.2
Third
6882
#18
4.71.5
6.98.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.4
End0.8
blue by 11.3
16.02.2
8.010.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsEarned