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Red50
42222.6
59544.2
159925.5
Blue33
337313.8
54012.4
61896.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45250204060805033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.7
23.023.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End10.1
red by 11.7
3373
#6Sur
13.80.5
4.24.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End8.4
Second
422
#8Sur
22.60.7
14.615.3
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End7.4
red by 10.2
540
#15
12.40.5
12.613.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End3.4
Third
5954
#16
4.20.7
2.02.7
Auto0.0
Teleop1.7
End2.6
blue by 2.2
6189
#19
6.40.5
9.29.7
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed