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Red31
99889.0
40129.6
572422.7
Blue26
99848.1
97719.0
99999.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70400501001502003126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
Unranked
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End5.4
red by 10.7
977
Unranked
19.00.0
19.019.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End8.4
Second
5724
Unranked
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 13.7
9999
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Third
9988
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
red by 0.9
9984
Unranked
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.4