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Red26
99859.0
126227.9
99989.0
Blue17
99889.0
859017.9
99999.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504301001502002617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
Unranked
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
red by 10.0
8590
Unranked
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Second
9985
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Level
9988
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Third
9998
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Level
9999
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo odds10%Cargo odds
Hangar
7%Hangar odds13%Hangar odds