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Red42
99869.0
126227.9
680218.9
Blue16
99899.0
393915.8
99999.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61310501001504216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
Unranked
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
red by 12.1
3939
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End5.8
Second
6802
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
red by 9.9
9989
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Third
9986
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Level
9999
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo odds5%Cargo odds
Hangar
26%Hangar odds15%Hangar odds