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Red21
99869.0
572422.7
99989.0
Blue24
99899.0
393915.8
126227.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375201001502124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
Unranked
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 5.2
1262
Unranked
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
Second
9986
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
blue by 6.8
3939
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End5.8
Third
9998
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Level
9989
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo odds25%Cargo odds
Hangar
14%Hangar odds24%Hangar odds