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Red64
99979.0
40129.6
572422.7
Blue8
99959.0
393915.8
314014.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69430206080100120140648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
Unranked
29.60.0
29.629.6
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End5.4
red by 13.9
3939
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End5.8
Second
5724
Unranked
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 8.5
3140
Unranked
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Third
9997
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Level
9995
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2