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Red33
99879.0
126227.9
680218.9
Blue35
99929.0
393915.8
314014.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613202040801001201403335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
Unranked
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
red by 12.1
3939
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End5.8
Second
6802
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
red by 4.7
3140
Unranked
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Third
9987
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Level
9992
Unranked
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.2