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Red49
999811.4
12224.8
161028.1
Blue65
999511.4
108629.3
97719.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585850556065704965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
Unranked
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
blue by 1.2
1086
Unranked
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto6.3
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Second
122
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
red by 5.8
977
Unranked
19.00.0
19.019.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End8.4
Third
9998
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Level
9995
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo odds11%Cargo odds
Hangar
18%Hangar odds39%Hangar odds