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Red60
999911.4
159923.3
61915.1
Blue24
999611.4
54012.4
12224.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39610501001506024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End7.4
blue by 1.5
122
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Second
619
Unranked
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.3
red by 2.7
540
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End3.4
Third
9999
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Level
9996
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo odds34%Cargo odds
Hangar
8%Hangar odds14%Hangar odds