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Red45
999811.4
12224.8
108629.3
Blue21
999511.4
61915.1
206817.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6337020801001201401604521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
Unranked
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto6.3
Teleop16.6
End6.5
red by 12.0
2068
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Second
122
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
red by 9.7
619
Unranked
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End4.3
Third
9998
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Level
9995
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo odds7%Cargo odds
Hangar
15%Hangar odds16%Hangar odds