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Red44
999811.4
161028.1
42230.6
Blue68
999511.4
159923.3
12224.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665602040801001201404468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
red by 5.9
122
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Second
1610
Unranked
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
red by 4.8
1599
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End7.4
Third
9998
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Level
9995
Unranked
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo odds37%Cargo odds
Hangar
39%Hangar odds45%Hangar odds