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Red41
90019.9
99989.1
373714.7
Blue69
42232.3
236337.8
28908.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions478401001502004169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
Unranked
19.91.0
22.821.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End7.7
blue by 17.9
2363
Unranked
37.80.3
35.234.9
Auto12.4
Teleop23.4
End2.0
Second
3737
Unranked
14.71.0
15.114.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End8.9
blue by 17.6
422
#2
32.30.3
31.331.0
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End10.0
Third
9998
Unranked
9.11.6
9.78.1
Auto0.4
Teleop4.8
End3.3
red by 1.0
2890
Unranked
8.10.3
7.26.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsMissed